Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.012149 0.014794 0.018128 0.022739 0.029118 0.037910 0.051476
2025-02-23 0.008846 0.011751 0.015912 0.022633 0.033939 0.053841 0.096525
2025-03-02 0.006957 0.009712 0.013970 0.021555 0.036132 0.067032 0.155769
2025-03-09 0.005860 0.008491 0.012797 0.021090 0.038933 0.083832 0.260108
2025-03-16 0.005219 0.007816 0.012296 0.021581 0.043933 0.111676 0.509967
2025-03-23 0.004676 0.007186 0.011702 0.021645 0.048029 0.143357 1.041841
2025-03-30 0.004135 0.006466 0.010780 0.020688 0.048905 0.165885 1.915671
2025-04-06 0.003742 0.005950 0.010148 0.020202 0.050969 0.199200 4.464077
2025-04-13 0.003510 0.005691 0.009979 0.020780 0.057008 0.271982 26.145742
2025-04-20 0.003386 0.005616 0.010169 0.022359 0.068233 0.433870 NaN
2025-04-27 0.003230 0.005457 0.010144 0.023352 0.078376 0.670462 NaN
2025-05-04 0.003031 0.005185 0.009819 0.023361 0.084217 0.929187 NaN
2025-05-11 0.002826 0.004907 0.009499 0.023521 0.092819 1.486087 NaN
2025-05-18 0.002627 0.004620 0.009118 0.023407 0.100611 2.453460 NaN
2025-05-25 0.002406 0.004261 0.008503 0.022277 0.100699 3.280580 NaN
2025-06-01 0.002241 0.004005 0.008101 0.021791 0.105281 5.371649 NaN
2025-06-08 0.002136 0.003866 0.007978 0.022305 0.119347 15.101985 NaN
2025-06-15 0.002025 0.003702 0.007759 0.022372 0.130442 52.358522 NaN
2025-06-22 0.001887 0.003464 0.007311 0.021371 0.129577 112.368617 NaN
2025-06-29 0.001779 0.003287 0.007002 0.020863 0.133812 687.902639 NaN
2025-07-06 0.001717 0.003207 0.006952 0.021467 0.153529 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.001690 0.003203 0.007113 0.023119 0.195372 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.001645 0.003154 0.007137 0.024159 0.235503 NaN NaN